Florida State vs North Carolina State 10/6/2012

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Florida State is a heavy favorite winning 80% of simulations over North Carolina State. EJ Manuel is averaging 256 passing yards and 1.88 TDs per simulation and Chris Thompson is projected for 83 rushing yards and a 63% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 20% of simulations where North Carolina State wins, Mike Glennon averages 2.49 TD passes vs 0.88 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.21 TDs to 1.37 interceptions. James Washington averages 37 rushing yards and 0.33 rushing TDs when North Carolina State wins and 33 yards and 0.16 TDs in losses. Florida State has a 56% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 88% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NCST +13

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